What to expect
We expect about 1.0 goals from Borac Banja Luka and 0.9 from Vikingur Reykjavik, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 1.9 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Borac Banja Luka come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Borac Banja Luka to win. Borac Banja Luka are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.0-0.9), and we make them about 37% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 37 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.41, which works out at about 41 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn Vikingur Reykjavik a draw or better. The price is shorter than our own read of about 37%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
