What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Brann and 1.3 from PAOK, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
PAOK come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Brann to win. Brann are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.3), and we make them about 39% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.57, which works out at about 39 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
PAOK only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 39% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
