How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 0.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.0 goals from Dinamo Minsk and 1.4 from SC Braga, so SC Braga come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: SC Braga to win. SC Braga shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-1.4), and we make them about 49% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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