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Football/UEFA Conference League/Dunajska Streda v Twente
UEFA Conference League

Dunajska Streda v Twente: how it went

Dunajska Streda crestDunajska StredaLWLLL
3 - 3
Twente crestTwenteDDWLL
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 6. Both teams scored.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.3 goals from Dunajska Streda and 1.3 from Twente, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Dunajska Streda come into this on three straight defeats. Twente come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Twente to win. Twente shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.3), and we make them about 40% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.70, which works out at about 59 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.

What the numbers say
✓Dunajska Streda have won one of their last five.
✓Twente have won one of their last five.

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More UEFA Conference League fixtures

Full fixture list
Qarabag crestQarabagvDynamo KyivDynamo Kyiv crest★★★★★
Qarabag are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.0-1.3), and we make them about 56% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
Match outlookQarabag to win · 1.92Share
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