What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from FC Hradec Kralove and 1.5 from Panathinaikos, so Panathinaikos come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Panathinaikos to win. Panathinaikos shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-1.5), and we make them about 52% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.95, which works out at about 51 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Favourites drop points more often than a short price suggests, and one moment can earn FC Hradec Kralove a draw or better. We make it about 52% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
