FC Midtjylland v HNK Rijeka: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made FC Midtjylland (Draw No Bet) 66%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from FC Midtjylland and 1.1 from HNK Rijeka, so FC Midtjylland come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

FC Midtjylland come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: FC Midtjylland (Draw No Bet). FC Midtjylland are favoured here (xG 1.7-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FC Midtjylland defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.22, which works out at about 82 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.