How it turned out
We projected about 2.9 goals and the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made PAOK (Draw No Bet) 69%, but the stake came back in full.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from PAOK and 1.0 from Brann, so PAOK come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.9 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
PAOK come into this on three straight draws. Brann come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: PAOK (Draw No Bet). PAOK are favoured here (xG 1.8-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a PAOK defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 69 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.26, which works out at about 79 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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