FC Nordsjaelland v FC ST. Gallen: how it went

How it turned out

We projected about 3.9 goals; the game finished with 1. We made FC Nordsjaelland (Draw No Bet) 87%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 2.9 goals from FC Nordsjaelland and 1.0 from FC ST. Gallen, so FC Nordsjaelland come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Our pick: FC Nordsjaelland (Draw No Bet). FC Nordsjaelland are favoured here (xG 2.9-1.0), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a FC Nordsjaelland defeat beats you.

We put the chance of that landing at about 87 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.