What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from FK Partizan and 1.2 from Getafe, so FK Partizan come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
FK Partizan come into this on five straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: FK Partizan to win. FK Partizan are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make them about 51% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Getafe to spoil this. We only make this about 51%, so it's far from a lock.
