What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Inter Club d'Escaldes and 1.2 from Drita, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Inter Club d'Escaldes to win. Inter Club d'Escaldes are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.2), and we make them about 38% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 38 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.37, which works out at about 42 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Drita to spoil this. The price is shorter than our own read of about 38%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
