What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from SK Rapid and 1.1 from Heart Of Midlothian, so SK Rapid come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
SK Rapid come into this on three straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: SK Rapid to win. SK Rapid are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.4-1.1), and we make them about 39% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.75, which works out at about 57 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
Heart Of Midlothian only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. The price is shorter than our own read of about 39%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
