Twente v Pafos FC prediction

What to expect

We expect about 1.8 goals from Twente and 0.8 from Pafos FC, so Twente come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Twente come into this on two straight wins. Pafos FC come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Twente to win. Twente are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.8-0.8), and we make them about 62% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.

We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.