What to expect
Calvo Sotelo Puertollano host Albacete in a Copa del Rey tie on 12 November 2026. The home side sit lower in the table while Albacete are the clear favourites on paper. The numbers show Albacete averaging about three goals a game and Calvo Sotelo barely one. Both teams have shown they can find the net, so we expect an open contest with chances at both ends. The price of 1.65 for an Albacete win is longer than we think the game will be.
Calvo Sotelo have not been mentioned in the recent results list, so we have no fresh form to analyse. Their recent league work is unknown to us, but the fact that they are hosting a side with a strong scoring record suggests they will need to be solid at the back. We can only note that they will be looking to keep Albacete at bay and maybe snatch a goal.
Albacete come into this match on a three-game winning streak. Their last eight games, both home and away, gave them three wins and five defeats. The most recent win was a 3-1 victory away at Leganes. Before that they beat Sabadell 2-1 at home and Eldense 2-0 at home. Their three defeats were a 2-1 loss away to Sporting Gijón, a 5-0 loss away to Valladolid and a 3-1 loss at home to Eibar. In those eight games Albacete have scored ten goals and let in sixteen. They kept one clean sheet and failed to score in two matches. Five of the eight games saw both sides score, and six featured three or more goals. Their last appearance was five days ago.
When the two clubs have met before, the games have tended to produce several goals and both teams have found the net. The pattern fits the expectation of an open encounter this time, with Albacete likely to dominate the attack but Calvo Sotelo still capable of a surprise strike.
We pick Albacete to win. The numbers give them about a three-goal average compared with less than one for the hosts, and we see an 80 % chance of that result. The price of 1.65 is longer than our reading, so it looks attractive. For this pick to fail, Calvo Sotelo would need to keep a clean sheet and score at least once, while Albacete would have to be shut out or limited to a single goal. That would be a rare turn of events, so we feel comfortable backing Albacete outright.
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