How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Slaven or Draw 68%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from Slaven and 1.3 from NK Istra 1961, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Slaven or Draw. This covers Slaven or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.35, which works out at about 74 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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