How it turned out
We projected about 3.2 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Flint Town United to win 39%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Airbus UK Broughton and 1.6 from Flint Town United, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Airbus UK Broughton come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Flint Town United to win. Flint Town United shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.6), and we make them about 40% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 39 out of 100. The price on offer is 3.90, which works out at about 26 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Flint Town United have won four of the last four meetings.
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