What to expect
We expect about 2.0 goals from Barry Town and 0.7 from Airbus UK Broughton, so Barry Town come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Barry Town (Draw No Bet). Barry Town are favoured here (xG 2.0-0.7), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Barry Town defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 89 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.30, which works out at about 77 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Airbus UK Broughton win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed.