How it turned out
We projected about 2.8 goals and the game finished with 2. We made Llandudno FC or Draw 68%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Llandudno FC and 1.3 from Haverfordwest, so Llandudno FC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Llandudno FC or Draw. This covers Llandudno FC or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.29, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
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