What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Barry Town and 1.2 from Llandudno FC, so Barry Town come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Barry Town to win. Barry Town are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.2), and we make them about 53% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 52 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.86, which works out at about 54 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
What the numbers say
✓Barry Town have won two of their last three.
✓Llandudno FC have won two of their last three.
