How it turned out
We projected about 3.1 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored. We made Cardiff Met FC to win 43%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.5 goals from Flint Town United and 1.6 from Cardiff Met FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Cardiff Met FC to win. Cardiff Met FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.5-1.6), and we make them about 44% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.20, which works out at about 45 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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