What to expect
We expect about 1.3 goals from Colwyn Bay and 1.4 from Llandudno FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Llandudno FC to win. Llandudno FC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.3-1.4), and we make them about 38% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 38 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.40, which works out at about 42 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
One thing to watch
A red card, a penalty or a smash-and-grab is all it takes for Colwyn Bay to spoil this. The price is shorter than our own read of about 38%, so there's less value here than the number suggests.
