What to expect
We expect about 1.4 goals from Holywell Town and 2.6 from Briton Ferry Llansawel, so Briton Ferry Llansawel come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.0 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Holywell Town come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Briton Ferry Llansawel to win. Briton Ferry Llansawel shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.4-2.6), and we make them about 62% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 60 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.67, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
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