What to expect
We expect about 1.2 goals from Holywell Town and 2.7 from Colwyn Bay, so Colwyn Bay come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.9 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Colwyn Bay to win. Colwyn Bay shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.2-2.7), and we make them about 67% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.53, which works out at about 65 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
