What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Llandudno FC and 1.7 from Caernarfon, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Caernarfon to win. Caernarfon shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.6-1.7), and we make them about 45% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 43 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.95, which works out at about 51 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
