How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Apollon Limassol or Draw 66%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Apollon Limassol and 1.2 from Pafos FC, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Apollon Limassol come into this on three straight wins. Pafos FC come into this on three straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Apollon Limassol or Draw. This covers Apollon Limassol or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 66 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.41, which works out at about 71 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Apollon Limassol have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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