How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals; the game finished with 1. We made Olympiakos Nicosia or Draw 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.1 goals from Karmiotissa and 1.3 from Olympiakos Nicosia, so Olympiakos Nicosia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Karmiotissa come into this on three straight defeats. Olympiakos Nicosia come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Olympiakos Nicosia or Draw. This covers Olympiakos Nicosia or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.31, which works out at about 76 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 2-2, with one drawn.
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