How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Krasava Ypsonas FC (Draw No Bet) 76%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.8 goals from Krasava Ypsonas FC and 0.8 from Omonia 29 Maiou, so Krasava Ypsonas FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Krasava Ypsonas FC (Draw No Bet). Krasava Ypsonas FC are favoured here (xG 1.8-0.8), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Krasava Ypsonas FC defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
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