How it turned out
We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made Aris Limassol or Draw 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 0.9 goals from Olympiakos Nicosia and 1.7 from Aris Limassol, so Aris Limassol come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Olympiakos Nicosia come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Aris Limassol or Draw. This covers Aris Limassol or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Aris Limassol have won three of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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