What to expect
We expect about 2.6 goals from Pafos FC and 0.6 from Omonia 29 Maiou, so Pafos FC come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Pafos FC come into this on four straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Pafos FC to win. Pafos FC are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 2.6-0.6), and we make them about 80% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.24, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
Recent results
Pafos FC have won two of the last two meetings.
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