How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.7 goals from Brondby and 0.8 from Randers FC, so Brondby come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.7-0.8), keeping it under more often than not (about 73%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.50, which works out at about 67 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Brondby have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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