How it turned out
We projected about 3.3 goals; the game finished with 5. We made FC Copenhagen (Draw No Bet) 67%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Odense host FC Copenhagen at the Superliga match on 6 September 2026. Odense sit 10th out of 12 with five points from seven games and a –7 goal difference, barely above the relegation line. One point separates them from Silkeborg above and AGF below. Copenhagen sit comfortably higher in the table and are the clear statistical favourite, with our goal expectations of 1.3 for Odense and 2.0 for Copenhagen. Both sides have shown they can score, so the game should have chances at both ends.
Odense have played eight games in their recent run, winning two, drawing two and losing four. The most recent results are a 1-1 draw away at Lyngby, a 2-1 away win over Fredericia, a 2-2 draw away at Aarhus, a 2-1 home loss to Horsens, a 1-0 away loss to Silkeborg and a 1-0 home win over Sonderjyske. In those eight matches they have scored seven goals and let in nine. They kept one clean sheet, failed to find the net in three games and have been unbeaten in their last three outings. At home they have one win, no draws and two defeats in the last three fixtures.
Copenhagen come into the game on a much stronger run of eight matches, winning seven and losing only once. Their latest results are a 2-0 home win over Nordsjaelland, a 3-1 home win over Sonderjyske, a 4-0 away loss to Viborg, a 4-0 away win over Randers FC, a 3-1 away win over Silkeborg and a 3-2 home win over Lyngby. They have scored 24 goals and conceded eight in that spell, keeping four clean sheets and being held scoreless only once. Their last four road games produced three wins and one loss, and they played just three days ago, so they arrive on a short turnaround but with confidence from two straight victories.
The two clubs have met five times before. Copenhagen have the edge with two wins to Odense’s one, and two games ended in draws. Those meetings have produced an average of 2.8 goals per game, indicating an open contest. The most recent encounter on 22 April 2026 ended 2-1 to Copenhagen, showing they can break down Odense’s defence while still conceding. Given the goal expectations and the recent head-to-head, we anticipate another match with goals from both sides and Copenhagen likely to come out on top.
Our pick is Copenhagen on a draw-no-bet. The price of 1.40 is shorter than we feel the game deserves, which makes the selection attractive. We think there is a 67 % chance Copenhagen will avoid defeat, based on their form, scoring record and the head-to-head history. The bet only loses if Copenhagen lose, so a draw returns the stake. For the pick to go wrong, Odense would need to hold Copenhagen to a draw or win, which would require a rare defensive display from the relegation-battling side and a slip in Copenhagen’s attacking rhythm.
Recent results
FC Copenhagen have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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