How it turned out
We projected about 2.2 goals and the game finished with 3. Both teams scored. We made LDU de Quito or Draw 79%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.4 goals from LDU de Quito and 0.9 from Barcelona SC, so LDU de Quito come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.2 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Barcelona SC come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: LDU de Quito or Draw. This covers LDU de Quito or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 79 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.16, which works out at about 86 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
LDU de Quito have won three of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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