How it turned out
We projected about 2.3 goals; the game finished with 0. We made Orense or Draw 73%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Orense and 1.0 from Deportivo Cuenca, so Orense come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.3 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Orense come into this on two straight defeats. Deportivo Cuenca come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Orense or Draw. This covers Orense or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.
We put the chance of that landing at about 73 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.28, which works out at about 78 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Orense have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.
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