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Football/Ecuador Serie A/Libertad v Leones del Norte
Ecuador Serie A

Libertad v Leones del Norte prediction

Libertad crestLibertadWLDW
v
Leones del Norte crestLeones del NorteLD

What to expect

We expect about 1.2 goals from Libertad and 0.9 from Leones del Norte, so Libertad come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.

Our pick: Libertad or Draw. This covers Libertad or the draw, trading a shorter price for a wider safety net. A sensible way to back the lean without needing the exact result.

We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.34, which works out at about 75 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Libertad have won two of their last four.

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