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Football/EFL Cup/Bradford v Burnley
EFL Cup · University of Bradford Stadium

Bradford v Burnley prediction

Bradford crestBradfordWW
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Burnley crestBurnleyDLDDL

What to expect

We expect about 1.3 goals from Bradford and 1.3 from Burnley, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Bradford come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Not both teams to score. This shapes up as a quiet, low-key game — around 2.6 goals between the two (xG 1.3-1.3). One side keeping it tight for a clean sheet is well on the cards.

We put the chance of that landing at about 51 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.96, which works out at about 51 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
Burnley have not won any of their last five.

One thing to watch

It only takes one lapse at either end — both sides finding the net is never far away. We make it about 51% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.

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