What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Fulham and 1.2 from Crystal Palace, so Fulham come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.8 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals. This should be an open game: we make it around 2.8 goals between the two (xG 1.5-1.2), landing about 52% of the time on these numbers. Both sides carry a threat, so the goals should follow.
We put the chance of that landing at about 49 out of 100. There is no settled price to hold that up against yet, so treat the call on its own terms.
What the numbers say
✓Fulham have won one of their last five.
✓Crystal Palace have won three of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
5 Sept 2026Fulham 2 - 3 Crystal Palace
1 Jan 2026Crystal Palace 1 - 1 Fulham
7 Dec 2025Fulham 1 - 2 Crystal Palace
22 Feb 2025Fulham 0 - 2 Crystal Palace
9 Nov 2024Crystal Palace 0 - 2 Fulham
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