How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Not both teams to score 56%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Southampton and 1.4 from West Ham, so Southampton come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.5 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Not both teams to score. There should be goals here — around 3.5 between the two (xG 2.0-1.4) — but they look like coming from one end. A clean sheet for one side is well on the cards.
We put the chance of that landing at about 56 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.50, which works out at about 40 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
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