How it turned out
We projected about 2.5 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Under 2.5 goals 48%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.3 goals from Stevenage and 1.2 from Reading, which is as level as our reading of a game gets. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Under 2.5 goals. This has the look of a cagey, low-scoring game — around 2.5 goals in total (xG 1.3-1.2), keeping it under more often than not (about 51%). Clear chances should be at a premium.
We put the chance of that landing at about 48 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.66, which works out at about 60 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent meetings
The odds and results data behind this preview cost money every day it runs. If it was worth reading, you can help keep it free. Support us →
