What to expect
We expect about 1.1 goals from Petrojet-Suez and 1.4 from Al Masry SC, so Al Masry SC come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.5 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Petrojet-Suez come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Al Masry SC to win. Al Masry SC shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.1-1.4), and we make them about 43% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 42 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.40, which works out at about 42 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
One thing to watch
Petrojet-Suez only need one good spell or a set-piece to nick something, and short-priced favourites slip up plenty. We make it about 43% and the price sits right on top of that, so there's little cushion if it turns.
