What to expect
We expect about 0.9 goals from Smouha SC and 1.2 from Ceramica Cleopatra, so Ceramica Cleopatra come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.1 goals in the game, so we are braced for a tight one where good chances are rare.
Ceramica Cleopatra come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Ceramica Cleopatra to win. Ceramica Cleopatra shade this one on the numbers (xG 0.9-1.2), and we make them about 42% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.
We put the chance of that landing at about 41 out of 100. The price on offer is 2.60, which works out at about 38 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.
