How it turned out
We projected about 2.7 goals; the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Widzew Lodz to score 1 or fewer 71%. It lost.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 1.6 goals from GKS Katowice and 1.1 from Widzew Lodz, so GKS Katowice come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
GKS Katowice come into this on three straight defeats. Widzew Lodz come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Widzew Lodz to score 1 or fewer. This is about Widzew Lodz's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.1 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 71%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.60, which works out at about 63 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Widzew Lodz have won two of the last four meetings, with one drawn.
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