What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.1 from Pogon Szczecin, so Jagiellonia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Pogon Szczecin come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Jagiellonia (Draw No Bet). Jagiellonia are favoured here (xG 1.6-1.1), and draw-no-bet takes the sting out of it: if the game finishes level your stake comes back, so only a Jagiellonia defeat beats you.
We put the chance of that landing at about 68 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.62, which works out at about 62 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent meetings
One thing to watch
A draw hands your stake back, so only an outright Pogon Szczecin win beats you — but on the day nothing is guaranteed. At around 68% on our numbers, it's a solid lean rather than a certainty.
