What to expect
We expect about 1.5 goals from Jagiellonia and 1.2 from Legia, so Jagiellonia come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 2.7 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Our pick: Both teams to score. Both of these carry enough of a threat to find the net (xG 1.5-1.2), and we make both teams to score about 57%. Expect goals at either end rather than a one-sided shut-out.
We put the chance of that landing at about 57 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.59, which works out at about 63 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
What the numbers say
✓Jagiellonia have won two of their last five.
✓Legia are unbeaten in their last five — two wins and three draws.
✓Four of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in three of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
1 Mar 2026Jagiellonia 2 - 2 Legia
24 Sept 2025Legia 0 - 0 Jagiellonia
13 Apr 2025Legia 0 - 1 Jagiellonia
6 Oct 2024Jagiellonia 1 - 1 Legia
7 Apr 2024Legia 1 - 1 Jagiellonia
