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Football/Eliteserien/Sandefjord v Start
Eliteserien · Sandefjord Arena

Sandefjord v Start: how it went

Sandefjord crestSandefjord11th of 16 · 23 ptsLWDDL
3 - 0
Start crestStart16th of 16 · 16 ptsLWLWW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 2.6 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Start to score 1 or fewer 78%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.7 goals from Sandefjord and 0.9 from Start, so Sandefjord come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.

Start come into this on two straight wins. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Start to score 1 or fewer. This is about Start's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 78%.

We put the chance of that landing at about 78 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.56, which works out at about 64 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.

What the numbers say
✓Sandefjord have won one of their last five.
✓Start have won three of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.

Recent results

24 Oct 2020Start 0 - 1 Sandefjord
21 Jun 2020Sandefjord 2 - 2 Start
4 Nov 2018Sandefjord 4 - 1 Start
2 Apr 2018Start 1 - 4 Sandefjord
17 Oct 2015Sandefjord 4 - 1 Start

Sandefjord have won four of the last five meetings, with one drawn.

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