What to expect
We expect about 2.4 goals from Viking and 0.9 from Lillestrom, so Viking come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.3 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Lillestrom to score 1 or fewer. This is about Lillestrom's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 84%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.38, which works out at about 72 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Viking have won three of their last five.
✓Lillestrom have won one of their last five.
✓Four of the last five meetings had three goals or more.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
22 Jul 2026Lillestrom 1 - 2 Viking
29 Sept 2024Lillestrom 1 - 4 Viking
16 May 2024Viking 1 - 4 Lillestrom
13 Aug 2023Lillestrom 1 - 3 Viking
15 Apr 2023Viking 2 - 0 Lillestrom
