How it turned out
We projected about 3.4 goals and the game finished with 3. We made Lillestrom to score 1 or fewer 84%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.5 goals from Viking and 0.9 from Lillestrom, so Viking come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 3.4 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Lillestrom to score 1 or fewer. This is about Lillestrom's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 0.9 on the day, and the bet wants them to 1 or fewer, which we make about 84%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 84 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.44, which works out at about 69 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
Recent results
Viking have won four of the last five meetings.
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