Tromsoe IL v HamKam prediction

What to expect

Tromsø IL host HamKam at home in the Eliteserien on 20 September 2026. Tromsø sit higher in the table while HamKam are down in 13th place out of 16, with 23 points from 21 games and a –15 goal difference. Vålerenga sit just above them on the same points, and Aalesund are one spot below, two points further back. Both clubs are fighting to stay clear of the relegation zone, so a point will be valuable for each side. The numbers suggest Tromsø are the stronger side, with a slightly higher goal expectation.

Tromsø’s recent form has been mixed. In their last three matches they beat Valerenga 3-0 away, drew 2-2 with Kristiansund at home and suffered a 4-0 loss to Rosenborg away. Those results give them one win, one draw and one defeat, and they have scored nine goals while conceding six in that short span. The run shows they can find the net, but they have also been vulnerable at the back.

HamKam have struggled in their last eight games, winning only once, drawing twice and losing five times. Their most recent fixtures were a 5-1 loss to Molde at home, a 4-0 defeat to Rosenborg away and a 2-2 draw with Kristiansund at home. Before that they lost 3-0 to Brann away, drew 1-1 with Aalesund at home and then beat Valerenga 3-0 away. In those eight games they have scored seven goals and let in 19, keeping just one clean sheet and failing to score in four matches. Their last five road games have produced one win and four losses, and three of those eight matches featured three or more goals, with both sides scoring in three of them.

We think both teams will find the net. Our pick is both teams to score, and the price of 1.76 matches our view of the game. The chance of this happening sits at 54 out of 100, which feels right given Tromsø’s 1.6 goal expectation and HamKam’s 1.4. For the bet to fail, Tromsø would need to keep a clean sheet or HamKam would have to be shut out, both of which are less likely given the recent goal-rich games each side has been involved in. We feel comfortable with the price and see a good chance of goals at both ends.