What to expect
We expect about 1.8 goals from Valerenga and 1.4 from Fredrikstad, so Valerenga come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.2 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Our pick: Valerenga to score 2 or fewer. This is about Valerenga's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.8 on the day, and the bet wants them to 2 or fewer, which we make about 76%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 76 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.42, which works out at about 70 out of 100. That gap is the whole reason this is on the site: we rate it more likely than the price does, and the price looks good to us because of it.
What the numbers say
✓Valerenga have not won any of their last five.
✓Fredrikstad have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last five meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Recent meetings
12 Apr 2026Fredrikstad 1 - 1 Valerenga
5 Jul 2025Valerenga 1 - 1 Fredrikstad
9 Apr 2025Fredrikstad 2 - 0 Valerenga
1 Oct 2012Fredrikstad 1 - 2 Valerenga
6 May 2012Valerenga 3 - 2 Fredrikstad
