What to expect
We expect about 1.6 goals from Sarpsborg 08 and 0.9 from KFUM Oslo, so Sarpsborg 08 come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 2.6 goals in the game, which is an ordinary sort of total.
Sarpsborg 08 come into this on four straight draws. KFUM Oslo come into this on two straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Sarpsborg 08 to win. Sarpsborg 08 are the stronger side on the numbers (xG 1.6-0.9), and we make them about 55% to win. On this shape, taking them to come out on top looks the cleaner play than chasing a bigger price elsewhere.
We put the chance of that landing at about 54 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.63, which works out at about 61 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
