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Football/Eredivisie/Cambuur v Twente
Eredivisie · Kooi Stadion

Cambuur v Twente: how it went

Cambuur crestCambuur14th of 18 · 5 ptsLWLLL
1 - 4
Twente crestTwenteDWLLW
Full time

How it turned out

We projected about 4.1 goals and the game finished with 5. Both teams scored. We made Twente to win 71%, and it landed.

What we said beforehand

We expect about 1.1 goals from Cambuur and 2.9 from Twente, so Twente come out ahead by a clear distance rather than a nose. Put together, that is around 4.1 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.

Cambuur come into this on three straight defeats. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.

Our pick: Twente to win. Twente shade this one on the numbers (xG 1.0-2.5), and we make them about 73% to win. They look the better bet on the road, and backing them outright is the straightforward way in.

We put the chance of that landing at about 71 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.39, which works out at about 72 out of 100. The two sit close together, so this is a lean rather than a standout price.

What the numbers say
✓Cambuur have won one of their last five.
✓Twente have won two of their last five.
✓Three of the last four meetings finished under 2.5 goals.
✓Both teams scored in no of the last four meetings.

Recent meetings

9 Apr 2023Twente 4 - 0 Cambuur
23 Oct 2022Cambuur 0 - 1 Twente
6 Mar 2022Twente 1 - 0 Cambuur
28 Aug 2021Cambuur 2 - 0 Twente
Twente have won three of the last four meetings.

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