How it turned out
We projected about 3.5 goals and the game finished with 4. Both teams scored. We made Both teams to score 70%, and it landed.
What we said beforehand
Nijmegen host Feyenoord at home in an Eredivisie clash on 5 September 2026. Nijmegen sit mid-table while Feyenoord sit third out of 18, eleven points from five games and a +6 goal difference. The Dutch top-four spots are at stake, with AZ just one point above Feyenoord and Excelsior two points below. Both teams have shown they can score, and the league table suggests a fight for European places will keep the pressure on.
Nijmegen come into this game on the back of two straight wins. Their last eight results read: a 3-1 win at Zwolle, a 4-1 win at Willem II, a 2-1 loss to Telstar at home, a 2-1 win over Go Ahead Eagles at home, a 2-1 loss away to Groningen, and a 1-1 draw with Telstar at home. In those eight games they have scored 14 and let in 10. At home they have one win, two draws and one loss in the last four matches, and five of the eight games featured three or more goals.
Feyenoord arrive unbeaten from their last eight outings, with five wins and three draws. Their recent scores are a 2-2 draw with Den Haag at home, a 5-2 win at Cambuur, a 2-2 draw with Go Ahead Eagles at home, a 1-0 win at Sparta Rotterdam, a 2-0 win at Zwolle and a 1-1 draw with AZ at home. In those eight games they have netted 18 and conceded nine, keeping two clean sheets. On the road they have won all four of their last away games, and six days separate their last match from this one.
The two sides have met five times before. Nijmegen have won once, Feyenoord once and three games ended in draws. Those meetings have produced an average of three goals per game. The most recent encounter was a 1-1 draw at Nijmegen on 12 April 2026. Given the goal averages and the fact that both clubs have been involved in high-scoring games recently, we expect another open contest with chances at both ends.
Our pick is both teams to score. Both sides average close to two goals per game in this run, and the recent head-to-head average of three goals supports that expectation. The price of 1.35 looks short compared with our reading of the match. For the pick to fail, the game would have to turn into a clean-sheet win for either side, which seems unlikely given the scoring records of both clubs. We feel comfortable with a 70 % chance of success.
Recent results
The last five meetings are split 1-1, with three drawn.
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