How it turned out
We projected about 3.7 goals; the game finished with 2. Both teams scored.
What we said beforehand
We expect about 2.0 goals from Nijmegen and 1.6 from Go Ahead Eagles, so Nijmegen come out ahead by a nose. Put together, that is around 3.7 goals in the game, and a match we expect to open up at both ends.
Nijmegen come into this on two straight defeats. Go Ahead Eagles come into this on two straight draws. Recent results are only ever part of the story, but they are worth knowing before kick-off.
Our pick: Go Ahead Eagles to score. This is about Go Ahead Eagles's goals alone, not the game's total. We make them around 1.5 on the day, and the bet needs them to find the net, which we make about 74%.
We put the chance of that landing at about 74 out of 100. The price on offer is 1.23, which works out at about 81 out of 100. The price is shorter than our own read, so there is less in this than it might look.
Recent results
Go Ahead Eagles have won two of the last five meetings, with two drawn.
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